UFC White House Underdogs: Best Long-Shot Value Picks
Five live dogs, ranked by expected value. Every payout shown is for a $100 wager. For the chalk side, see our UFC White House favorites breakdown.
Justin Gaethje
+200 · $200 on $100Live
Gaethje's calf kicks and pressure are the one stylistic recipe that has historically given Topuria-style counter strikers trouble. He doesn't need 25 minutes — he needs one clean uppercut inside the pocket. At plus money, this is the most live dog on the board.
Derrick Lewis
+130 · $130 on $100+EV
Hokit is a wrestler, not a closer. If Lewis lands clean inside the first six minutes, this is over. +130 on a fighter who has 19 KOs and the heaviest hands in heavyweight history is the value bet of the card.
Michael Chandler
+115 · $115 on $100+EV
Ruffy is +130 favorite for a reason, but Chandler still hits like a truck and brings wrestling Ruffy hasn't seen. A first-round clinch and ground-and-pound finish is a real path.
Ciryl Gane
+145 · $145 on $100Live
Gane's footwork buys him rounds. If he survives the first ten minutes, his pace breaks Pereira's rhythm. The decision route is undervalued at most books.
Aiemann Zahabi
+275 · $275 on $100Long-shot
Tristar coaching, a sharp straight right, and an O'Malley coming off the worst loss of his career. Long shot, but a four-leg parlay multiplier.
Best dog parlays
- 2-leg dog parlay: Gaethje + Lewis = roughly +590. Both fighters are one-punch finishers in fights where the favorite has to survive a moment.
- 3-leg dog parlay: Gaethje + Lewis + Chandler = roughly +1380. Three of the most ruthless KO artists of the modern era on one ticket.
- Yolo: Zahabi + Gane + Gaethje = +5500. Don't bet the house — bet the bar tab.
Always shop the line. See current UFC White House odds across books →. Full betting strategy →.